Sunday, October 31, 2010

How one can get screwed listening to TV analysts

I read somewhere that the best way to watch CNBCTV18 is to put it on mute.
Here's just one example why that advice may be really true -
http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/stocksviews/tatachemicalscantestrs460470thacker_494884.html



Published on Thu, Oct 28, 2010 at 11:12   |  Updated at Thu, Oct 28, 2010 at 11:32  |  Source : CNBC-TV18

Thacker told CNBC-TV18, "We have liked Tata Chemicals for some time now; it’s just broken out of what we call as  bullish cup and hand formation. I think this would do very well for the next few days for the stock price. I expect the  stock to head towards targets of about Rs 460-470 in the short-term and long positions can be taken with a stop loss  below Rs 425."


This recommendation came just one day before the big fall! And here is how the chart looked on the day this recommendation came

And what happened next? - cup and handle breakdown!




Here's a quick look at Open Interest table for TATACHEM from start of the series --

So either that analyst doesn't understand what Open Interest is - or its a deliberate attempt by TV folks to mislead 'aam admi'

From OI table even an average trader like me would have suspected that the rally was running on tired legs or no legs!


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