Saturday, January 15, 2011

Banknifty - which way will it go?


Chart pattern (example) for the bullish view:

S&P500 also had a massive fall from 1210+ to 1010 from April 2010 to July but subsequently it made a smart recovery against all odds/sentiments climbing the proverbial wall of worry.

Chart pattern that supports bearish view:
US banking index made a peak in April 2010 and then tanked back to the point where it broke-out. Subsequently, it just underperformed S&P500 and just consolidated for next 7-8 months

So we'll keep watching which way Banknifty goes!

PnF charts depicting the the massacre of Nifty and Banknifty


Thursday, January 13, 2011

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Will chart of HDFCBANK give a clue as to what Nifty will do next?





Why I am using HDFCBANK analogy? HDFCBANK peaked on 4th OCT when Nifty Futures reached a peak around 6240 and its been ahead of Nifty by at least a month ...

BN (SPOT) PnF chart -- updated

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Monday, January 3, 2011

Text book Double Bottoms rarely work

Here's an example which shows that the second bottom is typically lower than the first one by a few points - just to take out the stops for lucky longs that got in during the first bottom